A Monte Carlo Simulation Approach to the Production Availability Evaluation of an Offshore Installation with Operational Loops

نویسندگان

  • ENRICO ZIO
  • PIERO BARALDI
  • EDOARDO PATELLI
چکیده

The need of realistic models to evaluate the availability of multi-state, multi-output plants is felt in many advanced industries such as the nuclear, aerospace, oil and chemical ones. Indeed, often the complexity of the plant and of its maintenance and recon guration policies is such to render unfeasible its reliability/availibility evaluation by analytical models. In this paper we consider the problem of determining the production availability of an o shore installation in which three di erent kinds of production processes are carried out, under realistic operation and maintenance conditions which create operational loops in the system. A new systematic procedure for following, in a computationally convenient way, the time evolution of the multi-output plant production is proposed. 1. Acronyms and Abbreviations EC: Electro Compressor MCS: Maximum Cut-Sets mcs: Minimal Cut-Sets MC: Monte Carlo TEG: Try-Ethylene Glycol unit TC: Turbo Compressor TG: Turbo Generator

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تاریخ انتشار 2004